TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 7:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mikhail Khodorchenko and Arda Azkara in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mikhail Khodorchenko' if Mikhail Khodorchenko advances against Arda Azkara. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Mikhail Khodorchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mikhail Khodorchenko and Arda Azkara in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mikhail Khodorchenko' if Mikhail Khodorchenko advances against Arda Azkara. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Mikhail Khodorchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. This market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potentially identifying mispricings that sportsbooks may miss. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate predictions. It’s important to note that discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites and information access between market participants and sportsbook operators.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the price movements provide insights into how sentiment is evolving as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Khodorchenko vs Azkara match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and after it concludes to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or scheduling changes might also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential market movements.