TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Medhir Goyal and Mustapha El Natour in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Medhir Goyal' if Medhir Goyal advances against Mustapha El Natour. This market will resolve to 'Mustapha El Natour' if Mustapha El Natour advances against Medhir Goyal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Medhir Goyal and Mustapha El Natour in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Medhir Goyal' if Medhir Goyal advances against Mustapha El Natour. This market will resolve to 'Mustapha El Natour' if Mustapha El Natour advances against Medhir Goyal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven entirely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Medhir Goyal and Mustapha El Natour, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winning player will determine the outcome of this market, and all settled shares will be paid out accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Medhir Goyal or Mustapha El Natour, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the event, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Significant trading volume, indicating strong conviction from a large number of traders, is another signal to watch for as it can quickly move the odds.