TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matvei Kobiakov and Mikhail Kniazeu in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matvei Kobiakov' if Matvei Kobiakov advances against Mikhail Kniazeu. This market will resolve to 'Mikhail Kniazeu' if Mikhail Kniazeu advances against Matvei Kobiakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matvei Kobiakov and Mikhail Kniazeu in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matvei Kobiakov' if Matvei Kobiakov advances against Mikhail Kniazeu. This market will resolve to 'Mikhail Kniazeu' if Mikhail Kniazeu advances against Matvei Kobiakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe the likelihood of a particular result to be.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Matvei Kobiakov and Mikhail Kniazeu. Any official announcements or results published by the relevant governing bodies will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or location could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring news sources and observing trading volume will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 1, 2026.