TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marwan Ehab and Joaquin Benoit in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Joaquin Benoit. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Benoit' if Joaquin Benoit advances against Marwan Ehab. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marwan Ehab and Joaquin Benoit in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Joaquin Benoit. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Benoit' if Joaquin Benoit advances against Marwan Ehab. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, but this market shows a more balanced distribution, it might suggest the crowd perceives hidden factors or uncertainties not fully captured by the sportsbook. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information as traders react to news, analysis, and each other’s actions, constantly updating the perceived likelihood of each possible result in the Marwan Ehab vs Joaquin Benoit match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marwan Ehab vs Joaquin Benoit match, as reported by a trusted source covering the sport. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially declared and verified. The platform will then distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result, based on the share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Marwan Ehab or Joaquin Benoit would likely have an impact. Unexpected announcements about match conditions or venue changes could also move the market. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in analysis from sports commentators or betting experts, could drive trading volume and alter the perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.