TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marwan Ehab and Joao Azzari Cabas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Joao Azzari Cabas. This market will resolve to 'Joao Azzari Cabas' if Joao Azzari Cabas advances against Marwan Ehab. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marwan Ehab and Joao Azzari Cabas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Joao Azzari Cabas. This market will resolve to 'Joao Azzari Cabas' if Joao Azzari Cabas advances against Marwan Ehab. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information, analysis, and overall sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Marwan Ehab and Joao Azzari Cabas. The player who wins the match will be declared the winner of this market. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on publicly available information and independent verification. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and confirmation of resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also shift sentiment. Additionally, large trades by influential players on Polymarket could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on the platform will be key to understanding potential catalysts that could move this market before it resolves.