TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Martijn Molenkamp and Idriss Haddouch in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martijn Molenkamp' if Martijn Molenkamp advances against Idriss Haddouch. This market will resolve to 'Idriss Haddouch' if Idriss Haddouch advances against Martijn Molenkamp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martijn Molenkamp and Idriss Haddouch in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martijn Molenkamp' if Martijn Molenkamp advances against Idriss Haddouch. This market will resolve to 'Idriss Haddouch' if Idriss Haddouch advances against Martijn Molenkamp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Martijn Molenkamp and Idriss Haddouch, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially recorded, will determine the settlement of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also affect perceptions of the players’ form. Furthermore, large trades by influential traders on Polymarket can create momentum and lead to price swings, so monitoring the volume and order book activity is important.