TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:49 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marek Gengel and Arda Azkara in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marek Gengel' if Marek Gengel advances against Arda Azkara. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Marek Gengel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marek Gengel and Arda Azkara in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marek Gengel' if Marek Gengel advances against Arda Azkara. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Marek Gengel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights that sportsbooks haven't fully incorporated. This difference can also arise from varying levels of liquidity and market efficiency.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Marek Gengel and Arda Azkara. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected changes in weather conditions at the tournament location might also play a role, as could any updates on the playing surface or tournament schedule. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could also drive price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential trading opportunities.