TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcus Sehested and Sacha Bouillard in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcus Sehested' if Marcus Sehested advances against Sacha Bouillard. This market will resolve to 'Sacha Bouillard' if Sacha Bouillard advances against Marcus Sehested. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcus Sehested and Sacha Bouillard in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcus Sehested' if Marcus Sehested advances against Sacha Bouillard. This market will resolve to 'Sacha Bouillard' if Sacha Bouillard advances against Marcus Sehested. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Marcus Sehested and Sacha Bouillard, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then verify the result and settle the market accordingly, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the winner of the match. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants or shifts in overall market volume could create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading patterns on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts.