TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcco Iannoni and Luca Ugel in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcco Iannoni' if Marcco Iannoni advances against Luca Ugel. This market will resolve to 'Luca Ugel' if Luca Ugel advances against Marcco Iannoni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marcco Iannoni and Luca Ugel in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marcco Iannoni' if Marcco Iannoni advances against Luca Ugel. This market will resolve to 'Luca Ugel' if Luca Ugel advances against Marcco Iannoni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and is influenced by information and opinions shared by the community of traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Iannoni vs Ugel match, as reported by the governing body for this competition. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution. The process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in training regimes, or even weather conditions could shift expectations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected announcements about match scheduling or venue changes could also cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely impact trading activity and move the market.