TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Salbiev and Sil Hollemans in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Salbiev' if Marat Salbiev advances against Sil Hollemans. This market will resolve to 'Sil Hollemans' if Sil Hollemans advances against Marat Salbiev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Salbiev and Sil Hollemans in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Salbiev' if Marat Salbiev advances against Sil Hollemans. This market will resolve to 'Sil Hollemans' if Sil Hollemans advances against Marat Salbiev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Salbiev vs Hollemans match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Marat Salbiev and Sil Hollemans, as declared by the governing body of the competition. The outcome will be determined by which fighter is declared the winner of the match according to the official rules and regulations. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered as part of the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-match interviews expressing confidence or concern could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match conditions, such as a change in venue or referee, could also create volatility. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might prompt traders to adjust their positions, leading to price movements in this market.