TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Salbiev and Hudson Baxter in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Salbiev' if Marat Salbiev advances against Hudson Baxter. This market will resolve to 'Hudson Baxter' if Hudson Baxter advances against Marat Salbiev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Salbiev and Hudson Baxter in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Salbiev' if Marat Salbiev advances against Hudson Baxter. This market will resolve to 'Hudson Baxter' if Hudson Baxter advances against Marat Salbiev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and then adjust based on betting action, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the event, they can express that view through trading activity on Polymarket. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both types of markets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of a share reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand among traders on the platform, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers for the Salbiev vs Baxter match. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from boxing experts or significant betting action in traditional sportsbooks could also impact the price of shares on Polymarket. Furthermore, public perception of each fighter’s condition and preparation leading up to the match will likely play a role in how this market evolves.