TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Koray Kirci and Samuel Garcia Hernandez in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Koray Kirci' if Koray Kirci advances against Samuel Garcia Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Garcia Hernandez' if Samuel Garcia Hernandez advances against Koray Kirci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Koray Kirci and Samuel Garcia Hernandez in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Koray Kirci' if Koray Kirci advances against Samuel Garcia Hernandez. This market will resolve to 'Samuel Garcia Hernandez' if Samuel Garcia Hernandez advances against Koray Kirci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money bets and the insights of individuals actively trading on Polymarket. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing these odds can provide a broader understanding of the perceived probabilities of different outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and trading activity. The current implied probabilities are determined solely by trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Koray Kirci vs Samuel Garcia match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in prior matches could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or significant shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might also impact trading volume and price movements on Polymarket. Unexpected announcements or developments related to the players themselves could also cause the market to react.