TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 6:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim Ibrahim and Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim Ibrahim' if Karim Ibrahim advances against Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka. This market will resolve to 'Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka' if Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka advances against Karim Ibrahim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim Ibrahim and Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim Ibrahim' if Karim Ibrahim advances against Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka. This market will resolve to 'Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka' if Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka advances against Karim Ibrahim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the probability of an outcome. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing the event. Examining these discrepancies can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Karim Ibrahim and Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their positions in this market. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts that might move this market before Oct 14, 2026.