TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 8:07 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim Ibrahim and Amr Elsayed in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim Ibrahim' if Karim Ibrahim advances against Amr Elsayed. This market will resolve to 'Amr Elsayed' if Amr Elsayed advances against Karim Ibrahim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karim Ibrahim and Amr Elsayed in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karim Ibrahim' if Karim Ibrahim advances against Amr Elsayed. This market will resolve to 'Amr Elsayed' if Amr Elsayed advances against Karim Ibrahim. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, the odds on Polymarket may differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed bettors who identify discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially when there's strong public sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular player, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the match. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a transparent and accurate determination of the result. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the market is officially settled on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the odds of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also impact trading activity. A strong performance by one player in a practice session, or a surprising announcement about their strategy, could all contribute to movement in this market before Nov 5, 2026. Monitoring these signals is key for traders looking to capitalize on changing probabilities.