TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Karan Singh and Daniel Verbeek in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karan Singh' if Karan Singh advances against Daniel Verbeek. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Verbeek' if Daniel Verbeek advances against Karan Singh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Karan Singh and Daniel Verbeek in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karan Singh' if Karan Singh advances against Daniel Verbeek. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Verbeek' if Daniel Verbeek advances against Karan Singh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, incorporating a 'vig' or commission, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants in the market.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Karan Singh and Daniel Verbeek, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match performances, would likely have a significant impact. Any updates on playing conditions in Sharm ElSheikh, like weather forecasts affecting court surfaces, could also move the market. Unexpected announcements related to either player’s participation or strategy could also cause price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.