TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Robertsm and Fedor Sosedkin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Robertsm' if Justin Robertsm advances against Fedor Sosedkin. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Sosedkin' if Fedor Sosedkin advances against Justin Robertsm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Robertsm and Fedor Sosedkin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Robertsm' if Justin Robertsm advances against Fedor Sosedkin. This market will resolve to 'Fedor Sosedkin' if Fedor Sosedkin advances against Justin Robertsm. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and it's a dynamic representation of collective prediction. This allows for real-time adjustments based on new information or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Justin Robertsm and Fedor Sosedkin. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites or sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout of 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring tennis news and following trading activity on Polymarket will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to Oct 25, 2026.