TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 8:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Justas Trainauskas and Aaron Funk in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justas Trainauskas' if Justas Trainauskas advances against Aaron Funk. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Justas Trainauskas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Justas Trainauskas and Aaron Funk in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justas Trainauskas' if Justas Trainauskas advances against Aaron Funk. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Justas Trainauskas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd, making it a unique way to gauge the likelihood of each player winning the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Justas Trainauskas and Aaron Funk. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could lead to significant price movements. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also cause traders to adjust their positions. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Polymarket could create short-term volatility, impacting the odds for the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.