TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Benoit and Ramazan Kaan Oktay in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Benoit' if Joaquin Benoit advances against Ramazan Kaan Oktay. This market will resolve to 'Ramazan Kaan Oktay' if Ramazan Kaan Oktay advances against Joaquin Benoit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Benoit and Ramazan Kaan Oktay in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Benoit' if Joaquin Benoit advances against Ramazan Kaan Oktay. This market will resolve to 'Ramazan Kaan Oktay' if Ramazan Kaan Oktay advances against Joaquin Benoit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Benoit vs Oktay match. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Benoit vs Oktay match, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding injuries to either Benoit or Oktay would likely cause significant shifts, as would updates on their training or physical condition. Public statements from either fighter or their teams, changes in betting odds from sportsbooks, and even expert analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments leading up to the fight, such as changes in venue or rules, could also move the market as traders reassess the probabilities of each outcome.