TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Joaquin Benoit vs Lars Aregger
polymarket

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Joaquin Benoit vs Lars Aregger

Volume:
N/A

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Joaquin Benoit vs Lars Aregger

 - Polymarket

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Joaquin Benoit vs Lars Aregger - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 5:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Joaquin Benoit vs Lars Aregger

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Joaquin Benoit vs Lars Aregger Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Joaquin Benoit vs Lars Aregger Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Benoit and Lars Aregger in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Benoit' if Joaquin Benoit advances against Lars Aregger. This market will resolve to 'Lars Aregger' if Lars Aregger advances against Joaquin Benoit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Benoit and Lars Aregger in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Benoit' if Joaquin Benoit advances against Lars Aregger. This market will resolve to 'Lars Aregger' if Lars Aregger advances against Joaquin Benoit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before the event, as prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information and insights that sportsbooks may not immediately reflect. This can be a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Benoit vs Aregger match. As more shares are traded, the price of each share adjusts to reflect the collective probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the outcome it represents; a share priced at 50 represents a 50% chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Benoit vs Aregger match as reported by the tournament organizers. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player strategy or coaching changes could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Keep an eye on tennis news sources for any developments that could affect the Benoit vs Aregger match.