TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jason Pimenta and Joaquin Benoit in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jason Pimenta' if Jason Pimenta advances against Joaquin Benoit. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Benoit' if Joaquin Benoit advances against Jason Pimenta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jason Pimenta and Joaquin Benoit in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jason Pimenta' if Jason Pimenta advances against Joaquin Benoit. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Benoit' if Joaquin Benoit advances against Jason Pimenta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market relies on individuals predicting the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event. If a significant difference exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you agree with the prediction market’s assessment of the Benoit vs Pimenta match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Benoit vs Pimenta match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Benoit vs Pimenta match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources leading up to and following the event to stay informed about the resolution process and ensure a smooth settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before the Benoit vs Pimenta match takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form, tactical changes, or even weather forecasts could lead to adjustments in the probabilities assigned to each outcome. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.