TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 11:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Maute and John Bothma in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Maute' if Jannik Maute advances against John Bothma. This market will resolve to 'John Bothma' if John Bothma advances against Jannik Maute. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Maute and John Bothma in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Maute' if Jannik Maute advances against John Bothma. This market will resolve to 'John Bothma' if John Bothma advances against Jannik Maute. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the crowd believes there's value, or where sportsbooks might be over or underestimating a player’s chances.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Jannik Maute and John Bothma, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, would likely have an impact. Changes in weather conditions at the Sharm ElSheikh tournament could also shift expectations, particularly if one player is more affected by certain conditions than the other. Unexpected announcements related to player availability or changes in coaching staff could also move the market. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to influence trading activity.