TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Balaz and Alex Hunt in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Balaz' if Jan Balaz advances against Alex Hunt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hunt' if Alex Hunt advances against Jan Balaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Balaz and Alex Hunt in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Balaz' if Jan Balaz advances against Alex Hunt. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hunt' if Alex Hunt advances against Jan Balaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of a particular outcome. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive market that reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. This ensures that the market accurately reflects the actual event outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as any delays or changes to the event schedule could impact the timing of settlement for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probability of each player winning the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in public sentiment, could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and social media for relevant updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that might move this market before Oct 18, 2026.