TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Gretskiy and Dmytro Kovkin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gretskiy' if Ivan Gretskiy advances against Dmytro Kovkin. This market will resolve to 'Dmytro Kovkin' if Dmytro Kovkin advances against Ivan Gretskiy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Gretskiy and Dmytro Kovkin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gretskiy' if Ivan Gretskiy advances against Dmytro Kovkin. This market will resolve to 'Dmytro Kovkin' if Dmytro Kovkin advances against Ivan Gretskiy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of the match’s likely result. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Ivan Gretskiy and Dmytro Kovkin. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could shift expectations. Public statements from either player or their teams, as well as expert analysis, could also impact trading volume and price. Unexpected developments in the lead-up to the match, such as changes in playing conditions or controversies, could also cause significant movement. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.