TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Gretskiy and Aleksei Vidunov in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gretskiy' if Ivan Gretskiy advances against Aleksei Vidunov. This market will resolve to 'Aleksei Vidunov' if Aleksei Vidunov advances against Ivan Gretskiy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Gretskiy and Aleksei Vidunov in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gretskiy' if Ivan Gretskiy advances against Aleksei Vidunov. This market will resolve to 'Aleksei Vidunov' if Aleksei Vidunov advances against Ivan Gretskiy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are purchased for a particular result, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match's potential results. This differs from fixed-odds betting where the odds are set in advance.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Ivan Gretskiy and Aleksei Vidunov. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Furthermore, public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might impact the perceived probabilities of each player winning. Major shifts in betting volume, even without specific news, can also drive price movements as traders react to each other's actions.