TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Piasek and Oskari Paldanius in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Igor Piasek' if Igor Piasek advances against Oskari Paldanius. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Paldanius' if Oskari Paldanius advances against Igor Piasek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Piasek and Oskari Paldanius in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Igor Piasek' if Igor Piasek advances against Oskari Paldanius. This market will resolve to 'Oskari Paldanius' if Oskari Paldanius advances against Igor Piasek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view in this market, driving the odds closer to their perceived true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before major events or when new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, creating a dynamic and potentially more accurate forecast than any single individual’s opinion. The current volume indicates the level of interest in this match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Igor Piasek and Oskari Paldanius. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine which player won the match. The final price of shares will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to profit from accurate predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts for the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one outcome – can quickly move the market, reflecting a change in collective sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.