TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Pierre and Marwan Ehab in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Pierre' if Hugo Pierre advances against Marwan Ehab. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Hugo Pierre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Pierre and Marwan Ehab in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Pierre' if Hugo Pierre advances against Marwan Ehab. This market will resolve to 'Marwan Ehab' if Marwan Ehab advances against Hugo Pierre. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may adjust less quickly to new information. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, can incorporate a wider range of factors and react more rapidly to developments, such as player form or injury news. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, particularly as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of shares indicates the market’s collective assessment of the probability of Hugo Pierre winning. The volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and conviction behind these predictions, offering a dynamic and evolving view of the expected result.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Hugo Pierre and Marwan Ehab. The platform will verify the final score and declare a winner, triggering the payout of shares to those who correctly predicted the outcome. The outcome will be determined by the official tournament results.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Hugo Pierre or Marwan Ehab, or changes in playing conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceptions of player momentum. Even social media discussions and expert analysis could contribute to price fluctuations as traders incorporate new information into their predictions before Oct 13, 2026.