TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Hudson Baxter and Raul Clarijs in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hudson Baxter' if Hudson Baxter advances against Raul Clarijs. This market will resolve to 'Raul Clarijs' if Raul Clarijs advances against Hudson Baxter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hudson Baxter and Raul Clarijs in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hudson Baxter' if Hudson Baxter advances against Raul Clarijs. This market will resolve to 'Raul Clarijs' if Raul Clarijs advances against Hudson Baxter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, with traders buying on one platform and selling on the other to profit from the difference. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards what many believe is the 'true' probability as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout equivalent to 1 minus the trading fee, while shares in the losing player will be worth zero. It’s important to monitor for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (such as weather), or updates on player form could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one might also impact perceived probabilities. A significant amount of volume entering the market from a well-known or respected trader could also cause a noticeable price change. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.