TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry De Keulenaer and Jozef Karas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry De Keulenaer' if Henry De Keulenaer advances against Jozef Karas. This market will resolve to 'Jozef Karas' if Jozef Karas advances against Henry De Keulenaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Henry De Keulenaer and Jozef Karas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Henry De Keulenaer' if Henry De Keulenaer advances against Jozef Karas. This market will resolve to 'Jozef Karas' if Jozef Karas advances against Henry De Keulenaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants. Volume plays a role, as higher volume generally indicates greater confidence and more accurate pricing.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Henry De Keulenaer and Jozef Karas. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches featuring either player could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts, while not directly reflected in the market, could indirectly influence trader behavior and lead to price fluctuations before Oct 11, 2026.