TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:37 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Haiyi Qin and Aleksandrs Sotikovs in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haiyi Qin' if Haiyi Qin advances against Aleksandrs Sotikovs. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandrs Sotikovs' if Aleksandrs Sotikovs advances against Haiyi Qin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Haiyi Qin and Aleksandrs Sotikovs in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haiyi Qin' if Haiyi Qin advances against Aleksandrs Sotikovs. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandrs Sotikovs' if Aleksandrs Sotikovs advances against Haiyi Qin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Qin vs Sotikovs match. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that outcome being correct. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, adjusting in real-time to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Haiyi Qin and Aleksandrs Sotikovs, as declared by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to this one might also affect perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, though the market is primarily driven by trading activity on Polymarket. Major announcements related to the tournament itself could also cause movement.