TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Drab and Alberto Garcia Garcia in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Drab' if Filip Drab advances against Alberto Garcia Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Alberto Garcia Garcia' if Alberto Garcia Garcia advances against Filip Drab. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Drab and Alberto Garcia Garcia in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Drab' if Filip Drab advances against Alberto Garcia Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Alberto Garcia Garcia' if Alberto Garcia Garcia advances against Filip Drab. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Observing these differences can be insightful for both seasoned bettors and those new to predictive markets.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Filip Drab and Alberto Garcia Garcia. The platform will verify the final score and declare a winner, settling the market accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also impact expectations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity on Polymarket are key to understanding potential market movements.