TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 12:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Essa Qabazard and Tymon Litwic in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Essa Qabazard' if Essa Qabazard advances against Tymon Litwic. This market will resolve to 'Tymon Litwic' if Tymon Litwic advances against Essa Qabazard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Essa Qabazard and Tymon Litwic in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Essa Qabazard' if Essa Qabazard advances against Tymon Litwic. This market will resolve to 'Tymon Litwic' if Tymon Litwic advances against Essa Qabazard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, may incorporate information not readily captured by sportsbooks, such as nuanced player form or less-publicized news. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can present opportunities for arbitrage, though these are often quickly exploited.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment regarding the Qabazard vs Litwic match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Essa Qabazard and Tymon Litwic, as declared by the governing tennis authority. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could drive trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in the odds leading up to Oct 21, 2026.