TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dominik Guzmicky and Sofian Roushdy in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Guzmicky' if Dominik Guzmicky advances against Sofian Roushdy. This market will resolve to 'Sofian Roushdy' if Sofian Roushdy advances against Dominik Guzmicky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dominik Guzmicky and Sofian Roushdy in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dominik Guzmicky' if Dominik Guzmicky advances against Sofian Roushdy. This market will resolve to 'Sofian Roushdy' if Sofian Roushdy advances against Dominik Guzmicky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the Guzmicky vs Roushdy match. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to new information and changing expectations, providing a real-time gauge of predictive sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Dominik Guzmicky and Sofian Roushdy. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning player. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be clearly documented on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about either Dominik Guzmicky or Sofian Roushdy’s preparation, strategy, or physical condition would likely trigger movement. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis performance or public sentiment surrounding the players could also play a role. Shifts in volume, even without specific news, can also indicate changing beliefs among traders in this market.