TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:31 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Danila Folkheims and Finn Lester in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danila Folkheims' if Danila Folkheims advances against Finn Lester. This market will resolve to 'Finn Lester' if Finn Lester advances against Danila Folkheims. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Danila Folkheims and Finn Lester in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Danila Folkheims' if Danila Folkheims advances against Finn Lester. This market will resolve to 'Finn Lester' if Finn Lester advances against Danila Folkheims. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in their victory. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time forecast for the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Danila Folkheims and Finn Lester, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winner of the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result and subsequent market settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even general shifts in public sentiment, could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Furthermore, major tennis news or analysis released before Nov 8, 2026 may cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to changes in the market's overall direction.