TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Verbeek and Saveliy Ivanov in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Verbeek' if Daniel Verbeek advances against Saveliy Ivanov. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Daniel Verbeek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Verbeek and Saveliy Ivanov in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Verbeek' if Daniel Verbeek advances against Saveliy Ivanov. This market will resolve to 'Saveliy Ivanov' if Saveliy Ivanov advances against Daniel Verbeek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates individual predictions. It’s common to observe discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can provide insights into public perception versus professional analysis regarding the Verbeek vs Ivanov match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Verbeek vs Ivanov match. The price of these shares reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure for a particular outcome will raise its price, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Verbeek vs Ivanov match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. This ensures that the market accurately reflects the actual winner of the match. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related tournaments or even social media commentary from tennis analysts could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of either player's chances of winning the Verbeek vs Ivanov match has the potential to move the market.