TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Blazka and Bogdan Seleznev in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Blazka' if Daniel Blazka advances against Bogdan Seleznev. This market will resolve to 'Bogdan Seleznev' if Bogdan Seleznev advances against Daniel Blazka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Blazka and Bogdan Seleznev in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Blazka' if Daniel Blazka advances against Bogdan Seleznev. This market will resolve to 'Bogdan Seleznev' if Bogdan Seleznev advances against Daniel Blazka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Blazka vs Seleznev match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. The current price indicates the market’s expectation for the match’s result, and changes in price signal shifts in sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Blazka vs Seleznev match as reported by the governing sports body. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market will be settled and payouts will be distributed.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 25, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about either Daniel Blazka or Bogdan Seleznev’s condition would likely cause significant shifts in the market. Public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions and expert analyses, can also play a role in driving trading volume and price adjustments for this market.