TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 5:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Borys Zgola and Arjun Oza in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Borys Zgola' if Borys Zgola advances against Arjun Oza. This market will resolve to 'Arjun Oza' if Arjun Oza advances against Borys Zgola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Borys Zgola and Arjun Oza in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Borys Zgola' if Borys Zgola advances against Arjun Oza. This market will resolve to 'Arjun Oza' if Arjun Oza advances against Borys Zgola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – in this case, each player winning the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and changes rapidly as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share representing a particular player’s victory.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Borys Zgola and Arjun Oza. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout of 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in the losing player will receive nothing.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on their recent performance could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price movements, especially if they signal strong conviction from well-informed traders. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Nov 1, 2026.