TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benoit Torcq and Matt Mcdowell in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benoit Torcq' if Benoit Torcq advances against Matt Mcdowell. This market will resolve to 'Matt Mcdowell' if Matt Mcdowell advances against Benoit Torcq. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benoit Torcq and Matt Mcdowell in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benoit Torcq' if Benoit Torcq advances against Matt Mcdowell. This market will resolve to 'Matt Mcdowell' if Matt Mcdowell advances against Benoit Torcq. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and decreases the implied probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Benoit Torcq and Matt Mcdowell. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts for Sharm ElSheikh, or reports of a player’s physical condition, could also cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the decisions of traders on Polymarket. A surprising result in a similar match could also impact trading activity.