TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 8:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benoit Torcq and Arian Hasas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benoit Torcq' if Benoit Torcq advances against Arian Hasas. This market will resolve to 'Arian Hasas' if Arian Hasas advances against Benoit Torcq. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benoit Torcq and Arian Hasas in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benoit Torcq' if Benoit Torcq advances against Arian Hasas. This market will resolve to 'Arian Hasas' if Arian Hasas advances against Benoit Torcq. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are bought for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, making it a dynamic representation of expectations for the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Benoit Torcq and Arian Hasas as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to Benoit Torcq or Arian Hasas, or changes in playing conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting their conviction about the likely outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.