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$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Axel Garcian and Arda Azkara in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Axel Garcian' if Axel Garcian advances against Arda Azkara. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Axel Garcian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Axel Garcian and Arda Azkara in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Axel Garcian' if Axel Garcian advances against Arda Azkara. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Axel Garcian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information and insights beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on team rankings and public perception, while this market allows for a more dynamic assessment incorporating a wider range of factors and potentially 'wisdom of the crowd' effects. It's common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available, or as different participants weigh information differently. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system, constantly updating as new information emerges and trader sentiment shifts regarding the Garcian vs Azkara match.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Axel Garcian and Arda Azkara. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in earlier rounds of the tournament, or analysis of the players’ head-to-head record, might also drive price movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed participants could create noticeable shifts in the odds, reflecting new information or strategic positioning regarding the Garcian vs Azkara match.