TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryan Jolly and Sil Hollemans in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryan Jolly' if Aryan Jolly advances against Sil Hollemans. This market will resolve to 'Sil Hollemans' if Sil Hollemans advances against Aryan Jolly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryan Jolly and Sil Hollemans in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryan Jolly' if Aryan Jolly advances against Sil Hollemans. This market will resolve to 'Sil Hollemans' if Sil Hollemans advances against Aryan Jolly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific player, the higher the price rises, indicating increasing confidence in their victory. Conversely, selling shares lowers the price, suggesting decreasing confidence. This continuous price discovery process ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Aryan Jolly and Sil Hollemans. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning player will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will forfeit their stake. The exact payout amount will depend on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals or events could influence this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury reports or recent match results, could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions in Sharm ElSheikh could also impact player performance and, consequently, the market. Furthermore, changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, might lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations. Major upsets in other related tournaments could also influence traders' expectations and move this market as they reassess probabilities.