TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryan Jolly and Ibrahim Kandil in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryan Jolly' if Aryan Jolly advances against Ibrahim Kandil. This market will resolve to 'Ibrahim Kandil' if Ibrahim Kandil advances against Aryan Jolly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aryan Jolly and Ibrahim Kandil in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryan Jolly' if Aryan Jolly advances against Ibrahim Kandil. This market will resolve to 'Ibrahim Kandil' if Ibrahim Kandil advances against Aryan Jolly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match’s likely result, based on the information available to traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the confirmed outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updated match analysis from tennis experts could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even social media commentary surrounding the players, could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match has the potential to impact this market.