TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 6:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Artur Kukasian and Idriss Haddouch in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artur Kukasian' if Artur Kukasian advances against Idriss Haddouch. This market will resolve to 'Idriss Haddouch' if Idriss Haddouch advances against Artur Kukasian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Artur Kukasian and Idriss Haddouch in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Artur Kukasian' if Artur Kukasian advances against Idriss Haddouch. This market will resolve to 'Idriss Haddouch' if Idriss Haddouch advances against Artur Kukasian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. Comparing this market’s implied probabilities to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers regarding the Kukasian vs Haddouch match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Kukasian vs Haddouch match. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own assessments of the likely result. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Kukasian vs Haddouch match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official result announced by the tournament organizers. The outcome will be determined by which player wins the match, and the resolution will be based on the official score and any applicable rules governing the event. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 27, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or analysis from tennis experts predicting a change in form, could also impact trading volume and price. Any updates related to the players’ preparation or potential strategies could also be catalysts for movement in this market.