TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 12:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Arda Azkara and Volodymyr Iakubenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Volodymyr Iakubenko. This market will resolve to 'Volodymyr Iakubenko' if Volodymyr Iakubenko advances against Arda Azkara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arda Azkara and Volodymyr Iakubenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Volodymyr Iakubenko. This market will resolve to 'Volodymyr Iakubenko' if Volodymyr Iakubenko advances against Arda Azkara. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the collective assessment of the likelihood of a particular result in the Azkara vs Iakubenko match. As new information becomes available, traders adjust their positions, causing the price to fluctuate.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Azkara vs Iakubenko match, as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute funds to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even weather forecasts for the match location could also cause price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might also contribute to changes in the market's pricing.