TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 7:11 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Anton Arzhankin and Romain Faucon in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anton Arzhankin' if Anton Arzhankin advances against Romain Faucon. This market will resolve to 'Romain Faucon' if Romain Faucon advances against Anton Arzhankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anton Arzhankin and Romain Faucon in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anton Arzhankin' if Anton Arzhankin advances against Romain Faucon. This market will resolve to 'Romain Faucon' if Romain Faucon advances against Anton Arzhankin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market relies on individuals willing to bet for or against an outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessment, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It's common to see this market move independently of traditional betting sites, especially as new information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing means the market is constantly updating based on new information and sentiment, offering a unique perspective on the likely result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, determining which player emerged victorious. The platform will rely on publicly available data to verify the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the confirmed result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or any controversies surrounding the players could also lead to significant price movements. Additionally, large trades by influential market participants could temporarily impact the odds, reflecting their strong conviction about the likely outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.