TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 6:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amr Elsayed and Mikhail Khodorchenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amr Elsayed' if Amr Elsayed advances against Mikhail Khodorchenko. This market will resolve to 'Mikhail Khodorchenko' if Mikhail Khodorchenko advances against Amr Elsayed. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amr Elsayed and Mikhail Khodorchenko in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amr Elsayed' if Amr Elsayed advances against Mikhail Khodorchenko. This market will resolve to 'Mikhail Khodorchenko' if Mikhail Khodorchenko advances against Amr Elsayed. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that market participants have access to information or insights not yet fully priced in by sportsbooks. It’s important to consider both sources when forming an informed opinion about the potential outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the match gets, the more the price will likely reflect new information and changing expectations. The current price indicates the market’s collective prediction of the probability of a specific outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is considered correct for settlement purposes. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on player form could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed participants could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves as the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match approaches.