TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Amr Elsayed and Kacper Knitter in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amr Elsayed' if Amr Elsayed advances against Kacper Knitter. This market will resolve to 'Kacper Knitter' if Kacper Knitter advances against Amr Elsayed. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amr Elsayed and Kacper Knitter in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amr Elsayed' if Amr Elsayed advances against Kacper Knitter. This market will resolve to 'Kacper Knitter' if Kacper Knitter advances against Amr Elsayed. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual bettors. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market odds will likely move in the opposite direction. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall sentiment surrounding the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Amr Elsayed and Kacper Knitter. The platform will verify the winner through established sports data sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor for official announcements regarding the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports analysis, can also play a role. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact predictions. Even seemingly minor factors, such as weather forecasts for the match location, might cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.