TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksei Vidunov and Martijn Molenkamp in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksei Vidunov' if Aleksei Vidunov advances against Martijn Molenkamp. This market will resolve to 'Martijn Molenkamp' if Martijn Molenkamp advances against Aleksei Vidunov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksei Vidunov and Martijn Molenkamp in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksei Vidunov' if Aleksei Vidunov advances against Martijn Molenkamp. This market will resolve to 'Martijn Molenkamp' if Martijn Molenkamp advances against Aleksei Vidunov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Vidunov vs Molenkamp match. The price of a 'yes' share indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding share will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the match's potential result.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Aleksei Vidunov and Martijn Molenkamp. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources to determine the final outcome of this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trading volumes from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment could drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the resolution date.