TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:16 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandrs Sotikovs and Raghav Harsh in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandrs Sotikovs' if Aleksandrs Sotikovs advances against Raghav Harsh. This market will resolve to 'Raghav Harsh' if Raghav Harsh advances against Aleksandrs Sotikovs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandrs Sotikovs and Raghav Harsh in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandrs Sotikovs' if Aleksandrs Sotikovs advances against Raghav Harsh. This market will resolve to 'Raghav Harsh' if Raghav Harsh advances against Aleksandrs Sotikovs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding an event. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Examining both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in sentiment and expectations surrounding the Sotikovs vs Harsh match. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sotikovs vs Harsh match, as announced by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either player could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader shifts in public sentiment, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring news sources, social media, and the trading volume on Polymarket will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.