TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 9:05 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aaron Gabet and Ammar Faleh Alhogbani in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Gabet' if Aaron Gabet advances against Ammar Faleh Alhogbani. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Faleh Alhogbani' if Ammar Faleh Alhogbani advances against Aaron Gabet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aaron Gabet and Ammar Faleh Alhogbani in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Gabet' if Aaron Gabet advances against Ammar Faleh Alhogbani. This market will resolve to 'Ammar Faleh Alhogbani' if Ammar Faleh Alhogbani advances against Aaron Gabet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely trading based on their own insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise to understand differing viewpoints and identify potential value, but remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the aggregated predictions of all traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s probability. The current price indicates the market’s consensus expectation for the match result.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sharm ElSheikh tennis match between Aaron Gabet and Ammar Faleh Alhogbani, as declared by the tournament organizers. The winning player, as officially recorded, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders holding shares representing the winning player will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing player will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected results in preceding matches, or even weather forecasts affecting the court surface, could also trigger movement. Public sentiment, as reflected by social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Increased trading volume closer to the match date is also likely as more participants weigh in.