TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 7:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Aaron Funk and Tudor Batin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Tudor Batin. This market will resolve to 'Tudor Batin' if Tudor Batin advances against Aaron Funk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Aaron Funk and Tudor Batin in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aaron Funk' if Aaron Funk advances against Tudor Batin. This market will resolve to 'Tudor Batin' if Tudor Batin advances against Aaron Funk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow for continuous trading based on new information. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they differ significantly from this market’s implied probabilities. It’s valuable to compare the two to identify potential discrepancies and make informed decisions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on the relative strengths of the players, or simply due to market inefficiencies in either venue.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. This differs from fixed-odds betting, allowing for more nuanced expression of opinions and hedging strategies.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the M15 Sharm ElSheikh match between Aaron Funk and Tudor Batin. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also play a role. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators, while not directly reflected in the market, can indirectly influence trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also impact confidence in either player, leading to price adjustments in this market.